Support and Resistance are
concepts used by technical analyst to predict the price movement of the
instrument.
A support is level where
the price which the instrument tends to stabilize on the downside and is
expected to reverse direction in upward direction. Resistance is opposite of
the support level meaning the price is more likely to "bounce" off this
level rather than break through it.
Let us take the example of
a stock, say ABC Bank. Support the current price of stock is Rs 425 and the
results of ABC bank are declared which are exceeding the market expectation.
The price of the stock will increase due to reason of higher demand from the
purchaser of stock, i.e. they are willing to pay a greater price for purchasing
the share. Suppose the price rises to Rs 500. At Rs 500, the demand for purchasing
the stock may decrease as the buyer will feel the prices of the stock are on a
higher side. The supply at this price is greater as more sellers will be keen
to sell the stock at this price. So now the stock is feeling resistance to
cross the price of Rs 500. This price of Rs 500 starts acting as resistance for
the stock.
Since trade happens when expectation
of buyer’s demand meets the seller’s supply, the prices tend to fall on
reaching the resistance level. The price does tend to fall until a new
equilibrium is attained. Again after a certain price, say at Price RS 400, the
seller will not be inclined to sell stock, as they might feel the price is too
low to sell the stock, although the demand for the stock will be higher as
compared to the supply for the stock.
Since the supply for
selling is low at this support, stocks usually takes a support at this level
and tends to rise from this support price. Usually support and resistance can
be tracked by trend line.
The support and resistance
can be tracked for different time period. Let us understand this will buying apples.
In the peak season, the price of apples remains in between Rs 50-80, Suppose
the peak season lies for three months. The support and resistance price for
apple will be Rs 50 and Rs 80 respectively for a medium term. In daily prices,
the support/ resistance can be Rs 50-Rs 55. In the whole year, if the prices of
the apples remain between Rs 40-120, These are the support and resistance for
the long term.
Once an existing support
or resistance level is broken, the system tends to find new levels for
resistance and support. The support and resistance can be defined for different
time durations as discussed above. Normally once a support or resistance is
broken, the existing support acts as new resistance and vice versa.
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